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Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the news events and polling that have contributed to that change. They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the Senate next year. In her new book How Civil Wars Start And How To Stop Them, Barbara F Walter writes we are now closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe. The crew discusses which states will determine the balance of both chambers and what theyve learned from this election so far. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . Sign up to get unlimited songs and podcasts with occasional ads. They also break down what that means for future cases and what it means for the legitimacy of the court overall. FiveThirtyEight Politics 199 Episodes Share Follow Episodes About 61 minutes | Feb 27, 2023 How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear To mark a year since Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Galen Druke brings back two experts who first joined the podcast when the war began. And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. They determine whether we live in a free or repres Reporter Greg Bluestein explains how it happened in his new book, Flipped: How Georgia Turned Purple and Broke the Monopoly on Republican Power, and discusses with Galen what it means for 2022 and beyond. My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. The crew discusses two elections in Ohio this week that will test the sway of the establishment in both parties. The crew discusses how Russias invasion of Ukraine is affecting U.S. politics and the RAND Corportation's Samuel Charap joins to explain the root of Russia's aggression. We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. Make sure you select the language your Podcast episode is recorded in when uploading your audio. Where the hot sports takes of the week meet the numbers that prove them right or tear them down. You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. Transcripts by Erin Wade. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. They play a game of "Guess What Americans Think," in which the panelists have to guess Americans' opinions on a wide variety of topics, including Elon Musk, inflation and Britney Spears. With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. Election Day in Georgia is just a week away, so the crew shook off their turkey hangover to talk about what to expect in Georgias second Senate runoff in two years. The crew debates why politicians break with their parties in high-profile ways and what the repercussions can be. They also take a look at whether the Republican Party is conducting a post-mortem after its recent electoral losses. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. Edit your transcribed text. Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss why live caller surveys are no longer the gold standard in polling and what it means for the future of the industry. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? A message from Martine. They also consider why Republican senators' votes on convicting former President Donald Trump broke down the way they did. With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. We look at two of this weeks biggest stories -- the killing of Daunte Wright in Minnesota and the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations decision to pause the use of the Johnson and Johnson covid-19 vaccine. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. Politics Podcast: Baby Boomers' Strength Was In Their Numbers. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. This research library service enables you to: Search more than 2,489,000 U.S. broadcasts using closed captioning; Borrow broadcasts on DVDs; View and Cite short streamed clips; Compare and Contrast perspectives across networks, stations and time; and Place video quotes within your commentary. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. send a tweet. Tuesday night was a test for some big names in the Republican Party in Wyoming and Alaska. The Gabfest, featuring Emily Bazelon, John Dickerson, and David Plotz, is the kind of informal and irreverent discussion Washington journalists have According to a new poll from the Wall Street Journal, Hispanic voters are now split evenly between the Democratic and Republican parties, just one year after 60 percent voted for Democratic House candidates. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. The team also looks at how debates about "Critical Race Theory" entered the culture wars, particularly in schools and state legislatures. The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. They also talk about what states are doing with their billions in excess cash and look into opinion polling on the U.S.s involvement in Ukraine. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. Two days after Election Day, control of the U.S. House and Senate still hangs in the balance as votes are tallied in the Western states. And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. The crew talks about why President Biden's approval is underwater, what the consequences are for Democrats and what they can do about it. As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. gold rush supreme second chance winners. Americans' political views oftentimes don't align neatly with a single party, but instead draw on both conservative and liberal positions. LS 81 Global Rank TOP 0.01% ABOUT THIS PODCAST Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of campaign ads aired this cycle. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. The crew discusses how hurricanes shape political perceptions, whether 52 Democrats senators would be all that different from 50 and how the Electoral Count Reform Act could prevent future attempts to meddle with American elections. You can't imitate a worldview. In light of new data showing union membership at its lowest point since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began counting, they also look at how that decline has shaped U.S. politics. It's a busy week! In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. Given some of the caveats in the poll, the crew asks whether it's a good or bad use of polling. The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. Local news is disappearing across the country. COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. The crew discusses why the number of independents has been growing and what it means for American politics. The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like. A year later, Trump still appears to be the de facto leader of the party.

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fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts