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Advanced stats offer insight into a Quarterback's performance beyond the standard box score. -- Hasselbeck, Snubbed: Just because Tom Brady does not often put himself in position to need a second-reaction throw, it does not mean he can no longer do it. -- Schatz/Klassen, Others who received at least one vote: Baker Mayfield, Jameis Winston, Derek Carr, Carson Wentz, Cam Newton, Tom Brady, Ryan Tannehill, Sam Darnold, Matt Ryan, Joe Burrow, Zach Wilson, Trevor Lawrence, Jared Goff, Ben Roethlisberger and Ryan Fitzpatrick. An improved offensive line should help Herbert better showcase his rushing talent. Josh Allen, Bills These statistics provide a detailed view of how a QB accumulates. He was dead last (3-of-19) in accuracy on tight-window throws of 21 or more yards. 5. -- Bowen, Stat to know: Mahomes had the second-lowest interception per dropback rate and fourth-lowest sack rate last season. While Brady's demeanor in front of the camera is collected and measured, he is ferocious on the field and has a short memory on the rare occasions that he does make an error. He is a long-strider, which makes him better on the edge and in space rather than dodging defenders at the second level, but he has similar tools to Allen. Deshaun Watson, Texans* 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. But there's a reason that this kid was the consensus No. 3. It's not only about pass velocity or placement. Stroud comes in as the most accurate of the top five quarterbacks. Tom Brady, Buccaneers 1; top 2 picks Cards', NFL fifth-year option tracker: Decisions on 2020 class, Best remaining NFL free agents at each position, Latest NFL OROY, DROY odds: Bijan Robinson favored, Eagles draft recap: What they definitely got right, NFL schedule release target date, plus 5 things we know. He went 31-of-64 for 1,051 yards, nine touchdowns and four interceptions throwing deep in 2021. Mahomes not only can throw the football about as far as he'd like, but he can throw it where he'd like it to go. Full list of Mr. Irrelevants in NFL draft history: Is Brock Purdy already the best final pick? CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: nfl | pageType: stories | From 2013-16 Johnson was the best high school quarterback Brownsburg's ever had, a five-star recruit, rated No. Best Attribute: Ball Placement/Touch. 5. With the 2022 NFL season around the corner, PFF ranked all 32 starters from a year ago in eight different deep-passing metrics, all of which can be found in PFF Premium Stats: We then aggregated the ranks for each category to form a 1-32 list for deep-passing performance. April 30, 2023. Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs -- Walder, Riser to watch: What Allen did last season to elevate the Bills to the AFC Championship Game for the first time in nearly 30 years was remarkable. But according to NFL Next Gen Stats, another quarterback led the league in expected points added per play and completion percentage over expectation on throws on the run over that span: the Saints' Jameis Winston, who missed our top 10. 10. 6. 3. 8. While we can quantify plenty in football, sometimes it's important to know when to just trust the qualitative experts. Goff went 183-for-233 for 1,487 yards and six touchdowns on such throws. He is showing again in 2021, that he is one of the most accurate after AS decided to run plays longer than 5-10 yards. Yes, Kyler Murray, in his rookie season, was the most accurate deep passer in the 2019-20 Deep Ball Project. Browns Ravens Steelers AFC South Colts Jaguars Texans Titans AFC West Broncos Chargers Chiefs Raiders NFC East Commanders Cowboys Eagles Giants NFC North Bears Lions Packers Vikings NFC South. Strong decision-making means less opportunities for the other team -- and likely more points for yours. What to know: The Mississippi State transfer is set to be the Badgers' backup quarterback behind Southern Methodist transfer Tanner Mordecai, but the gap between Locke and QB1 isn't as wide as most thought.Locke is a smart decision-maker, accurate with the football and reads defenses well. 9. With pressure coming off the edge or up the middle, getting outside the pocket and making off-schedule throws on the run is important in today's game. I agree to receive the "Pick Six Newsletter" and marketing communications, updates, special offers (including partner offers), and other information from CBS Sports and the Paramount family of companies. According to Madden 23 , Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen has the best arm in the NFL. Every Sunday, we are treated to incredible highlight-reel plays across the league, from 60-yard deep balls to huge gains on designed rushes to inconceivable pinpoint throws outside the pocket. Deshaun Watson, Texans* -- Yates, Biggest surprise: I would've put Baker Mayfield in the top 10 here. Derek Carr, Raiders 10. -- Yates, Biggest surprise: I was surprised, in a good way, to see Jackson at No. However, he ranked 23rd in turnover-worthy play rate on these throws and, consequently, 24th in PFF grade. This is also a big season for Miami's second-year QB Tua Tagovailoa. section: | slug: murrays-magic-daks-patience-and-allens-deep-ball-heres-how-the-nfls-top-qbs-are-dominating-in-2021 | sport: football | route: article_single.us | While defensive coaches can work tirelessly all week to devise a plan to slow Jackson down, here's the reality: When it's Jackson versus a defender in open space, he comes out on top. 10. But in terms of Jones' deep passing, the addition of Golladay could serve as a significant X-factor. The story of the Cowboys scout and prospect son Dallas just drafted, Legacy pick: Cardinals take great-great-nephew of team's first-ever draft pick, This NFL record is in jeopardy: How six QBs could break it in 2021 -- and hit 6K yards, The NFL's best quarterbacks: We asked 50 execs, coaches and scouts to rank the top 10, Ranking every NFL position group from 1-32, rushing defense-adjusted yards above replacement. Dak Prescott, Cowboys -- Schatz/Klassen, Others who received at least one vote: Ryan Tannehill, Taysom Hill, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Justin Herbert, Matt Ryan, Ben Roethlisberger, Trey Lance, Baker Mayfield, Kirk Cousins, Jameis Winston, Joe Burrow, Tyrod Taylor and Kyler Murray. Josh Allen, Bills Looking at the rookies, Trey Lance might be the toughest of the bunch; he'll be rising in this ranking by next year. Going back two seasons, Allen was also contacted the second-most times in 2019 -- again behind Jackson. If I caught that correctly it was 40-4-1 AFL + 66-16-1 NFL. 0:24 If Tua Tagovailoa develops into an elite, upper-echelon pro quarterback, it seems clear his super powers are going to need to be accuracy, touch and quick decision-making. CB | Safety | OT | Interior OL That was actually substantially higher than the winner of this category, Allen, who was contacted 123 times. Lamar Jackson, Ravens Watch: Andrew Luck He has added more EPA than any quarterback in the league on deep throws, according to NFL.com's Next Gen Stats model, so it seems like a pretty good strategy. Last season, Mahomes converted 66.7% of his third-down scrambles (12 of 18) while also registering a QBR of 82.2, with eight touchdown passes, on scramble-attempt throws. Deshaun Watson, Texans* QB | RB | WR | TE The Ravens QB remains the clear top choice on designed carries. We then combined those lists with a point-based system to generate a final ranking in each area, all 12 of which are below. Derek Carr, Raiders 2 in that stat didn't make the top 10 here: Washington's Ryan Fitzpatrick. This one is pretty straightforward. The chart below is of an actual quarterback studied, the No. Few quarterbacks toe the line with "risky" throws without actually putting the ball in danger as effectively as Ryan. Jaren Hall was a two-year starter at BYU and started 25 games total. Matthew Stafford, Rams From position ranks to power rankings, you can find it all at PFF. The deep ball threat completely goes away when Goff is under pressure. 2. T10. The real question is just how high he'll be ranked. Deshaun Watson, Texans* consistently got open more than most other pass-catchers, 2022 NFL season: Three teams ready to make playoff run after missing out in '21, AFC West projected starters for 2022 NFL season: Broncos look like contenders. Daniel Jones, New York Giants 2. 1. Tom Brady, Buccaneers When a quarterback has to fake the run before throwing a pass, that takes time. Derek Carr, Raiders He was the 2016 IndyStar Mr. Football . The Dolphins signal-caller ranked third in completion percentage (48.3%) and second in yards per attempt (18.1) a season ago, but only Taylor Heinicke posted a worse turnover-worthy play rate on deep passes. Jump to: 20/29, 230 yds, 1 TD, sacked 4 times. 7. The pass went incomplete near the back of the end zone, but it was still notable: It was the farthest-thrown football in terms of actual distance by any quarterback on any play in the regular or postseason over the past four years. Kirk Cousins, Vikings If Mahomes' receivers consistently have more separation when targeted, that speaks to his ability to see and target the correct option more often. 1 prospect for the 2021 class since he was a freshman at Clemson -- he has some of the best arm talent we've seen in the past 20 years. 6. If opponents want to sit back with two deep safeties and dare him to either check to a run play or hit a checkdown option for a short-to-medium gain, Dak will just keep doing exactly that over and over again. Dak Prescott, Cowboys Because he has outstanding football instincts and knows how to avoid taking the big hit. He finished third in passing yards and fourth in passer rating. 2. 8. Shop here and show your colors. April 29, 2023 at 01:41 pm. -- Yates, Biggest surprise: I'm surprised that Allen didn't end up No. Since 2018, the Raiders rank eighth in passing DVOA when the score is within a touchdown in the fourth quarter or overtime. those raiders teams were legitimately good squads. -- Walder, Riser to watch: A lot of people were worried about Murray's size coming out of college. Jalen Hurts, Eagles And after 16 years of taking those beatings, he's still finding starting jobs. Prescott earned a seventh-ranked 94.5 passing grade on his 73 deep attempts. To get a sense of how these talented passers stack up right now, we broke their games down by different skills. Aaron Rodgers, Packers "@DavyJPopNLocka @MitchellRenz365 if only we had a QB that had one of the most accurate deep balls in the league. He's not exactly a polished passer, but he's a tough player who likes to run the ball. Brady's second-reaction throws look nothing like those of the younger guys in the league, but he is still among the best at problem-solving when pressured. He has a league-high 43 completions of 10 or more air yards and he's taking an average of only 2.86 seconds to throw them, which means he's getting the ball out more than two-tenths of a second faster than the average NFL quarterback on those plays. 08 May. Russell Wilson, Seahawks. -- Hasselbeck, Snubbed: Joe Burrow does not have the raw arm strength to fit the ball into tight windows. Be it situational awareness, identifying pressure, adjusting protections or anticipating the unforeseen, he sets the bar. 25. . (Only Prescott's is higher (149.3), and he's attempted less than half as many throws as Allen, going 4 of 6 for 163 yards and two touchdowns.) Compete level | Toughness | In the pocket Let's start with the best downfield throwers in the NFL, but you can also jump to each category to see how the top quarterbacks align in the other 11 skills. Lamar Jackson, Ravens Dak Prescott, Cowboys T10. Lance, in particular, has a special blend of velocity and downfield distance that comes out of his hand with ease, not unlike Herbert's. Justin Herbert, Chargers, Best of the best: Nobody has worked to fine-tune the marriage between the lower body and the upper body as it relates to throwing the football as much as Brady has. As I mentioned, the deep ball was a concern. But in two seasons, he has yet to miss a game. Rodgers put the ball in a perfect spot on 35.8% of his deep passes, fifth among quarterbacks a season ago. If he was unsure or late, he would just step on the gas with his passes. 3. Trey Lance, 49ers, Best of the best: Jackson's career is just getting started, but his trajectory as a runner is obvious: He's on his way to becoming the best rushing quarterback of all time. And that goes back to his tape at USC. Aaron Rodgers, Packers But he does not have an accurate deep ball and relies on his . But how about a shoutout for someone who didn't make the cut: Guess who has the most wins over the past five seasons in games in which they at some point had less than a 10% chance of winning? From a pure mechanics standpoint, you could make an argument that Prescott could jump in front of Mahomes and even Rodgers, who both lean more on their natural throwing ability. But he's also capable of getting the ball through tight windows and into the arms of a waiting receiver who didn't appear to be open, but actually was because of the way Herbert's physical gifts allow him to make throws that aren't available to other players. Note: All Brady statistics are prior to Thursday's game against Philadelphia, during which he just added to the ridiculous numbers. The clunkiness of Baltimore's passing game last season is much more a product of the lackluster receiving talent and Greg Roman's stale concepts than Jackson's inability to see the field. Most Accurate Deep Ball Qb 2022 | StatMuse Geno Smith had the best completion percentage by a quarterback in 2022, at 69.8 percent. Caleb Leach. Browns draft pick QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson dual threat pic.twitter.com . He makes up for it with careful ball placement and wonderful touch, doing his best to mimic the success that players such as Drew Brees and Phillip Rivers experienced in the second half of their careers. And who is never off-target with their throws, displaying pinpoint precision? Also appearing in the accuracy percentage short-range category in second place, Tannehill tied for third in yards per attempt (7.2) on short throws. With the amount of defined reads there, Carr can be smart with the football and attack the windows that Gruden dials up. A league-best 58.8% of those carries have gone for five yards or more. Oh yeah and Kyler Murray. -- Riddick, Biggest surprise: I personally had Carr at No. 6. And even that might not work all that well. To do so, we asked NFL analysts -- Matt Bowen, Tim Hasselbeck, Mina Kimes, Booger McFarland, Louis Riddick, Mike Tannenbaum, Seth Walder, Field Yates, Pro Football Focus' Sam Monson and Football Outsiders' team of Aaron Schatz and Derrik Klassen -- to rank their personal top 10 NFL quarterbacks entering the 2021 season in 12 distinct categories, from arm strength to field vision. The G.O.A.T. was a touchdown machine in the short game the Bucs quarterback recorded 24 short passing touchdowns, the most of any quarterback last season at that depth. 6. Justin Herbert (66.9%), 7:55 am ET. Derek Carr, Las Vegas Raiders 3. With Odell Beckham Jr. back in the mix, . 2. But among players with at least 20 scrambles last year, Tannehill was actually the most efficient in terms of expected points added per scramble. 5. What are advanced QB stats? 3. Matt Ryan, Falcons He scored once and moved the sticks seven other times. Arm strength doesn't mean much if you can't perfectly put the ball where it needs to go. As an ascending talent with upper-tier traits, Herbert's toughness is a key part of his game. He absolutely has all the intangibles to be the leader of the Dolphins and can definitely command a huddle and a locker room, but the only real way to completely win over your teammates is to go out and do it on Sundays. 6. Lamar Jackson, Ravens In his last season in Atlanta, Ryan completed 43.1% of his 51 deep attempts, the ninth-best completion rate among starters. "Shot Zone" situation . On his way to an AFC championship victory, Burrow completed 186 of his 240 short pass attempts in 2021 for 1,858 yards and 12 touchdowns. Most of the social media general managers asked about linebackers and safeties still on the board. We looked at the play-action pass game in the CLE offense on a deep ball throw for QB Baker Mayfield. Jones attempted just 24 deep passes on the year, but he didnt record a single turnover-worthy play. Not only does he bring a physical element to the position, both inside and outside of the pocket, but we can also point to multiple plays on the tape where he had to make a big-time throw with location in the face of pressure. Kyler Murray, Cardinals, Best of the best: Protecting the football and not giving it to the other team via bad decision-making is priority No. However, Nick Foles ranked 24th, and was 17-41, so it not like he was lighting . Russell Wilson, Seahawks He could easily find himself at the top of this list in the next few seasons. Aaron Rodgers, Packers 1. Justin Herbert, Chargers The current. By | March 22, 2023 | 0 | March 22, 2023 | 0 When you need a big throw to be made under challenging circumstances, these two are who you want slinging it. Dak Prescott, Cowboys He also averaged just 8.8 yards per deep attempt. Ben Roethlisberger, Steelers, Best of the best: Brady's lack of mobility has never been an issue because his processing and understanding of what's going to happen before it actually happens is unparalleled. Kirk Cousins, Vikings It is no coincidence that the. A first-year starter as a redshirt freshman, Maye threw the ball a lot and for a ton of yards and a ton of touchdowns, which is a great way to get on the NFL radarso is being 6-foot-4 and 225 . Justin Herbert, Chargers Deshaun Watson, Texans* 7. 9. Burrow also does well to keep his hips free and allow his arm to come through cleanly without getting himself hunched over a tight base. But he's also. Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com Note: For teams forced to start more than one QB, we went with the player who attempted more passes. He also has the highest floor of all the quarterbacks in the draft. . 41. -- Schatz/Klassen, Others who received at least one vote: Josh Allen, Matthew Stafford, Ryan Tannehill, Kyler Murray, Joe Burrow, Jimmy Garoppolo, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Ben Roethlisberger and Baker Mayfield. -- Walder, With our live draft lobby, you can be drafting a team in minutes. But a pair of rookies -- Lawrence and the 49ers' Trey Lance -- have a good case for at least the No. 9. -- Kimes, Stat to know: Jackson blew away the field in expected points added on designed rushes in 2019. It's more difficult to throw the ball with defenders in your face, for obvious reasons. 2. Arizona also boasts the NFL's largest point differential (+111), is the toughest team to score on (16.3 points allowed per game), is getting defensive reinforcements off the COVID-19 list -- including OLB Chandler Jones -- and is already effectively integrating new TE Zach Ertz, the first player to catch a TD pass in successive weeks for different teams. -- Yates, Biggest surprise: Wilson at No. Some pretty deep balls in that video, especially considering the era in which he did it. Outside of 21-25 yards his accuracy was outstanding on throws of 26+ yards, and he was the third most accurate tight window passer and second most accurate under center. 1. -- McFarland, Snubbed: New England's Cam Newton feels like an odd omission given his reputation, but a relentless string of injuries, including shoulder issues, have sapped him of the arm strength of his youth.

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